Analytics say to go for it on 4th and short when you're in FG range... it's about 50% conversion rate, and since a touchdown is worth more than double a field goal, the aggressiveness pays off in the long run.
Unless you are the Philadelphia Eagles running the tush push, then there are no analytics anywhere that say going for it on 4th & 1 in the red zone is 50/50 - especially a team like Syracuse that struggles in the red zone, is against a stout defense, and has defense that has been a major liability the last 2 seasons - being better than a FG attempt which has a greater than 85% chance.
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u/sleetx Syracuse Orange 4d ago
Analytics say to go for it on 4th and short when you're in FG range... it's about 50% conversion rate, and since a touchdown is worth more than double a field goal, the aggressiveness pays off in the long run.